March 28, 2012
http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/article3251886.ece
Japan
have already been given an exemption from punitive actions by the U.S. for purportedly reducing their oil imports
from Iran
“significantly.”
http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/article3251886.ece
Even as the U.S.
steadily tightens the screws on the sanctions regime against Iran , energy-deficient, rapid-growth nations
such as India
are finding themselves walking a tightrope with their continued but declining
reliance on Iranian oil imports.
Ten European nations and
Yet India
in particular would appear to be purposefully walking a line that sacrifices
neither its core interest, the need to meet the demands of more than 400
million Indians with no access to commercial energy, nor its commitment to
adhere to United Nations sanctions regimes.
Last week
the U.S. put out its most direct message on Iran yet — that India, along with
other importers of Persian oil, could face sanctions by July if it too did not
reduce such imports “significantly” — a term that has not been defined
quantitatively in the U.S. 2012 National Defence Authorisation Act (Section
1245), except to allude, by comparison, to Japan's reduction of 15-22 per cent.
At this
point India remains in
compliance with United Nations sanctions against Iran , yet it has, however, refused
to recognise any country-specific sanctions overlay above this globally
accepted level.
Consistent
with this position it appears that India
will not be making an application for a sanctions exemption from the U.S.
Whether
private companies engaged in the oil trade with Iran independently start reducing
their volumes is another question.
Some of
these companies are said to be facing constraints on their business in any
case, given the broader sanctions against Iranian central bank and other
financial institutions, and the knock-on effect that that has in terms of
payment instruments.
If that
trend continues India may
find itself meeting the U.S. '
demands without any extra effort to do so.
While India
reportedly imported 21 million tonnes of Iranian oil in 2009-10, that dropped
to around 18 million tonnes in 2010-11.
If
further efforts had to be made, however, those seeking to press
country-specific sanctions on Iran
would have to take account of the fact that Indian refineries processing light
crude from Iran
would need to have their capital-intensive infrastructure modified, and that is
likely to be expensive.
Alternative approaches that India may independently
decide to follow, should the need arise, could entail the use of wheat exports
to Iran that would help India avoid being branded as a contributor of hard
currency to Iranian coffers.
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